Monday, April 28, 2008

April 25th - 16 month LID for China

As of April 25, we have now waited 16 months in line for our China adoption. While we are in process to bring home Ellie from Kyrgyzstan, the slow boat to China seems to have stalled out and been sucked into the Bermuda Triangle.

We were recently informed that we have made it through the Review Room. This a small piece of progress. Our dossier has been reviewed and we have been approved by the CCAA to adopt.

China's last batch of referrals were through January 9, 2006 with the CCAA only referring four days worth of LIDs.

According to a website called China Adoption Forecast:

China has 350 days of dossiers to be processed before they get to your dossier. China currently processes about 5-7 days of dossiers each month.

If China did all future referrals at the exact same speed as they did this month our referral would come JULY 30, 2014 (6 more years)

Our best guess - a weighted average of recent CCAA velocities, guessing that CCAA will perform about as well in the future as they are performing now, but might return to previous trends: JUNE 7, 2011 (three more years).

I'm going to be real honest here and say that I'm not willing to wait that long. After Ellie is home, we are required to wait a year before we would even be able to adopt from China. I think, at that point, we have to make a decision. As I explain to everyone who asks, including our social worker: God has led us this far. I'm sure He will provide the direction we need at that time. But, as of right now, He has not led us to do anything about our China adoption.

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